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What Israel’s strike in Qatar could mean for Gaza

What Israel’s strike in Qatar could mean for Gaza

Israel’s Senior global leader trying to kill Hamas On Tuesday, the most obvious sign in months suggests that the war in Gaza is unlikely to end in a hostage deal between Israel and Hamas.

Israeli air force air strikes on a residential building in U.S. ally, Qatar’s capital Reportedly a leader of HamasSome of them travel from the country are meeting to discuss the Trump administration’s latest ceasefire proposal. According to Hamasfive people were killed in the attack, but Hamas leaders, including the group’s exiled Gaza leader Khalil al-Hayya and Khaled Mashaal from Hamas abroad survived. Qatar’s Ministry of Interior says Members of internal security forces Killed.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Give a green light After the strike Palestinian gunman attack Six people were killed in a bus stop in Jerusalem on Monday. White House officials say the United States was told to strike after missile launch Netanyahu Description It is “completely independent Israeli action.” The White House kept a distance from the strike. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters While eliminating Hamas, it is a worthwhile goal, “Unit-side bombing within Qatar, a sovereign state and close ally of the United States… has not moved towards Israel or the United States.” Levitt also said that President Donald Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff has informed the Katari administration of the upcoming attack, and Trump has assured the country’s leaders that “this thing won’t happen again on their land.”

The attack is now at a critical moment in the nearly two-year war in Gaza as the Trump administration is re-pushing the ceasefire and Israel is preparing for a new ground offensive.

Earlier Tuesday Israel orders total evacuation of Gaza The operation is expected to be encoded as “Gideon’s Chariot II” as a follow-up The final major attack Enter the enclave in summer. So is Israel Blasting up high-rise residential buildings In the city it says, it is used as a military post in Hamas. Even in these preparations, some people questioned Israel’s exhausted army Another major ground operation is really about to be carried out.

“The debate on the announcement of Gideon’s Tank II and the pending ground offensive in Gaza City is a debate to put more pressure on Hamas to agree to a deal, and it is a debate.” Michael KoplowThe chief policy officer of the US Israel Policy Forum told Vox after the Doha strike. “I think we have the answer now.”

As Netanyahu said at the beginning of the war, the Israeli government still promised that about three years ago, the Israeli government still promised instead of defeating Hamas militarily as it did in the past, rather than agreeing to a ceasefire. (No need to say anything Possible plans In order to relocate civilians in Gaza. ) There has been a strike Already praised From politicians within the political scope of Israel, although support is not universal.

Einav Zangauker, one of the mothers Surviving Israeli hostages Holded by Hamas Say in X post That could be, it could be, the Prime Minister actually assassinated my Matan and blocked his fate. ”

What’s left in Middle East diplomacy?

The fact that Hamas leaders were able to live and operate more or less openly in Qatar, like Israel, is considered one of the United States.Major non-NATO allies“Always abnormal.”

Although the Qataris have been criticized by the United States and Israel for hosting Hamas, the two countries have also found the group to have fixed addresses and ready-made interlocutors – the Katari government – which are useful when they do need negotiations. In fact, before the October 7 attack, Israel supports Qatar’s decision to send millions The dollar paid to the Hamas-led government in Gaza each year. Part of the strike may be that Israel is no longer interested in attending the interlocutor or dialogue.

Qatar’s foreign policy has long been Subtle balancing behavior: It owns the largest U.S. military facility in Hamas and the Middle East, namely Al Duyd Air Force Base. It is a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council, as well as countries like the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, but it also maintains friendly relations with Iranian competitors. Links to Iran and other factors make it a target for Trump during his first administration, but Qatar spent Lobbying billions of dollars The grace of returning to Washington, including Hire some existing members Trump’s administration. The effort seemed to have paid off when Trump visited the Emirates in May, Large-scale trade and defense agreementsAnd accept Boeing 747 as a giftOstensibly a temporary replacement for Air Force One.

Qatar may think it is Switzerland in the Middle East – it also chairs negotiations on the Afghan war and Ukraine – But doing so, it seems to make itself a target. Israel’s strike was in Iran for less than three months Launching missiles in the US In Qatar, retaliate against nuclear weapons in the U.S. bombing facility. In this case, it is the negotiator itself that is targeted.

The Qataris “trust too much in front of the Al-udeid base to make sure that something like this doesn’t happen.”

This is the second time this year Iran in Juneleaders involved in ongoing public negotiations with the United States were attacked by Israel. Last week, Trump Describe the United States It is “in-depth negotiations with Hamas.”

Trump also warned Hamas last week, “If you release the hostage immediately, good things will happen, but if you don’t, it will be difficult and annoying for you.” So it’s worth noting that at least so far, the White House has been alienated from Israel’s actions, not because of doing good honors for the threat to Trump, just like when Israel attacked Iran.

But given that the U.S. hasn’t done much to restrict Israel in either case, many in the region may question whether these are real negotiations and that it’s worth picking up the phone when Witkoff goes live.

It also reminds us that the Israeli government believes that Hamas can be eliminated through military force and can be handled through other enemies in the region Periodic “grass mowing” strikes In multiple countries.

If that is not the case, it may soon find that no one wants to negotiate, and nowhere to negotiate.

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