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First election test for Trump’s term surprisingly close in FL, GOP looks to increase razor-thin House majority

First election test for Trump’s term surprisingly close in FL, GOP looks to increase razor-thin House majority

Voters in two Florida congressional districts travel to the poll Tuesday as Republicans aim to control two solid red seats and give themselves more room to breathe In the house They have a majority of seats in the razor.

But the Democratic candidates in the two special elections have greatly surpassed the Republican candidates – thanks to a thrilling base to resist the president’s exciting base Donald Trump and his extensive and controversial agenda.

Trump scored 37 and 30 points in Florida’s No. 1 and No. 6 Congressional District games in last year’s presidential election, and they were seen as an early referendum in the opening months of Trump’s second tour in the White House.

Although the Republican Party is expected to sweep two games, some public and private people’s opinion surveys showdown in the District 6 is now a mismatch.

Trump’s view on Florida’s special election

Additionally, Trump pointed to the huge fundraising advantage of Democratic candidates, who told reporters on Friday: “In a case like this, he never knows what will happen.”

Florida CFO Jimmy Patronis is favored by Democratic Gay Valimont in the game Florida In the Panhandle area.

However, Wallimont was a patron at a fundraiser at about 5-to-1 margin.

What that means for the House Republican majority if Republicans lose one of Tuesday’s elections: “It’s going to be difficult”

Republican Matt Gaetz won reelection in the region in November’s election, resigning from reelection in the region weeks after Trump elected him as attorney general in his second administration. Gates later withdrew from the cabinet’s considerations.

But this is the sixth CD game, which is located on the Atlantic coast of Florida, from Daytona Beach to St. Augustine and the southern Inland to the suburbs of Ocala, which really raises concerns among some in the Republican Party.

The game was to succeed Republican Michael Waltz, who resigned from the seat on January 20 after Trump named his national security adviser.

Republican state Sen. Randy Fine faces face to face with Josh Weil, a Democratic teacher in a multiplayer field.

Americans’ opinion on Trump’s work two months before his second term in the White House

Will has won a lot of national attention in recent weeks with a profit of about 10-1 in the campaign cash battle.

The cash difference in the sixth CD contest stimulated the Republican outside groups, making last-minute contributions to support Fine, the conservative Super PACS raised a large sum of money to launch ads, engaging Trump’s support for Fine and targeting Weil.

Josh Weil is the Democratic candidate for the sixth Congressional District seat of Florida, Florida, speaking at a City Hall event in Ocala, Florida on March 26, 2025.

Josh Weil is the Democratic candidate for the sixth Congressional District seat of Florida, Florida, speaking at a City Hall event in Ocala, Florida on March 26, 2025. (Reuters/Octavio Jones)

The announcer of the conservative fighter PAC accused by the announcer encountered “liberal Josh Weil, who wanted to run into obstacles in Trump’s agenda.”

The U.S. PAC (funded by Trump’s top donor billionaire Elon Musk) last year – also had infusions within the end days before the election.

Democrats are not excited about possible Biden politics reappearance

“If our candidates raise funds faster and raise funds on TV faster, I would like it more,” Rep. Richard Hudson, chairman of the Republican Congress Committee (NRCC), told reporters last week. But, Hudson added that the fine was “doing what he needed to do. He’s on TV now,” stressing, “We’re going to win a seat. I’m not worried at all.”

Neither the NRCC nor the Congressional Leadership Fund (Super PAC supports House Republicans) put any resources into the game.

However, Trump brought headlines to Fine and Patronis late last week, and he also participated in social media on Saturday to praise the two candidates in an effort to promote Republican voters.

President Donald Trump arrived at Palm Beach International Airport on Friday, March 28, 2025 at West Palm Beach, Florida.

President Donald Trump arrived at Palm Beach International Airport on Friday, March 28, 2025 at West Palm Beach, Florida. (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta)

“Randy has always been the huge voice of Margo,” Trump wrote. “In Congress, Randy will be an incredible fighter.”

Despite Trump’s optimism about the two elections that swept Florida – saying “they seem good” – worrying that taking a seat in Florida’s sixth CD could have contributed to the president’s nomination last week for Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik to serve as UN ambassador.

Stefanik represents the 21st Congressional District of New York, the state is the northernmost large rural area of ​​the state, including most of the Adirondack Mountains and the Thousand Islands. In November last year, she was re-elected on tour with 24 points.

“We don’t want to seize any opportunity. We don’t want to experiment,” Trump said, noting that if confirmed as the United Nations ambassador, it will be a special election later this year to fill her seat.

The president added: “She is very popular. She will win. Others may win, too, because we’re doing well there. I’m doing well there. But ‘probably’ may be bad.”

Stefanik and Trump

House Republican Congress Chairman Elise Stefanik and then-Educated President Donald Trump at an event in New York. (Getty Image)

Trump isn’t the only Republican who is worried about Florida’s District 6 game.

Steve Bannon, former Trump’s top political adviser and Conservative host, warned last week that “no victory”. In addition, two Florida items Governor Ron DeSantis The Republicans were not doing well in the special election last week, saying “this reflects the candidate’s reflection in that game.”

But it is worth pointing out the controversial history between DeSantis and Fine, the first Florida Republican to turn from DeSantis to Trump during the 2024 Republican presidential nomination battle.

On the eve of the election, a Republican official in Florida told Fox News that the party was not panicking about the game, but was “worrying.” But the official, who asked to remain more free to speak anonymously, said the victory could still score 7-10 points.

Republicans currently hold a 218-213 majority in the House — two open seats in Florida, while Democratic lawmakers died in March.

Republican Rep. Byron Donalds launched his 2026 Florida governor campaign in a Fox News digital interview on Friday, predicting that a Republican majority would be “hard” if the party loses a Tuesday election.

But, he added: “I don’t expect that. I think we’re going to win both seats on Tuesday. I think Republican voters in these areas are going to stand out because, in the end, the choice is chosen.”

House Majority Whip Rep. Tom Emmer told Fox News Digital that “Jimmy Patronis and Randy Fine are exactly what House Republicans need to join our team.”

Emmer, a third-ranked Republican in the House, stressed that “their voting and leadership will be key as we work to advance President Trump’s agenda in Congress and make America great again.”

Democrats sweep twins special legislative elections on key battlefields

While the game between two Republican-ruled regions is far from ideal for Democrats to try to flip, the election is the first opportunity for voters and donors to try to make a move since Trump returns to power in the White House.

"Welcome to Florida" symbol

Voters in two Florida’s congressional districts will participate in the poll Tuesday as Republicans aim to control the firm red seats and give themselves more breathing space in the house, where they have razors-the sheer majority. (Getty Image)

Democrats say the surge in fundraising for their candidates shows that voters are frustrated with voters’ frustrations after Trump’s opening weeks.

They also pointed to the state Senate election last week on the Pennsylvania battlefield where Democrats easily turned their seats from red to blue in the November presidential election.

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told reporters: “The American people did not buy Republicans for sale.”

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Jeffries and other Democrats have not predicted victory, and the House Democrats’ campaign department (DPP) has not invested resources in any race.

But Jeffries, the top Democrat of the House, stressed: “These areas are so Republicans, there is usually no reason to believe that race will be close, but what I can say is almost guaranteed is that both Democratic candidates in the Florida special election will be significantly over-performed.”

Mark Meredith of Fox News contributes to the report

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